← Two free tracks · Prop-risk foundations

Free · Option Flow · 2 · written draft for review

GEX: hedge mechanics and a data-admission audit

Prerequisite: Complete options/OI/Greeks first. Optional context, never an entry model.

Original English written learning is available here. Real clean ATAS captures/continuous replays and independent review are not complete. Hypothetical examples are not trading records.

Derive a hedge instead of predicting a day

In a simplified delta-neutral book, hedge exposure H equals minus option-book delta D. For a small underlying-price move, change in D approximately equals book gamma multiplied by the price change, holding other inputs fixed. The hedge adjustment is its opposite.

Hypothetical units: D starts at +100, H at −100, gamma is +5 units per point. Price rises two points. D becomes approximately +110, so neutral H becomes −110: sell 10 hedge units. With gamma −5 instead, D becomes +90; H becomes −90: buy 10. These are abstract units, not NQ contract counts. Contract multipliers would be needed for that conversion.

Positive gamma hedging can oppose price movement; negative gamma hedging can follow it. Neither guarantees range or trend. Dealers can net across books, hedge in other products, delay adjustments, or face flows that overwhelm the model. Gamma changes with price, time and volatility.

GEX is a model, not a public dealer-position tape

Vendor models aggregate signed gamma under assumptions. Units may mean exposure per underlying point or dollar hedge change per 1% move. Expiry coverage and inventory assumptions differ. A gamma flip is a modelled crossing of estimated net gamma through zero, not an exchange order or universal support level. Some curves have multiple or no crossings. Do not assume positive gamma always lies above the advertised flip.

Admit data only after checking

Record provider/method; exact option underlying; destination futures contract month; quote/data-as-of time and timezone; capture time; OI business date; included expiries and cutoff; delay; units/sign assumptions; and any conversion/uncertainty. A current overlay on an old replay is future information, not historical evidence.

Same-index cash-to-future references can use a local additive basis approximation with synchronised quotes. Hypothetical: matching cash index 1,000 and future 1,006 imply basis +6; cash strike 1,010 translates approximately to futures 1,016. This moves a reference, not a whole GEX surface or dollar exposure. Basis can change. A stale cash close paired with live overnight futures is not a valid current basis. SPX and NQ are different baskets: a price ratio does not make an SPX wall an NQ wall.

When to exclude the layer

Missing instrument, time, expiry or methodology means exclude the options context. Sound price data can still support price-only learning. Frozen primary price data or unknown execution risk means stop execution altogether. Neither failure is repaired by drawing a more impressive line. No options layer is required to finish this free academy.

Practice · 4 points

  1. D=+80, H=−80, gamma=+4; price falls 3 points. New D and hedge adjustment?
  2. Today's GEX overlay is placed on last month's replay. Valid historical evidence?
  3. A vendor's expiry coverage is unknown. Keep the line because it matches price?
  4. Cash 2,000, matching future 2,012, cash strike 2,020. Approximate future reference?
Reasoned answer key

1. D=68; hedge must become −68, adjustment +12: buy 12 abstract units (1). 2. No; use a contemporaneous archived snapshot or label options unavailable (1). 3. No, exclude the unverified layer rather than select a convenient story (1). 4. Basis +12, reference 2,032, conditional on matching times/instruments and local stability (1).

Readiness: 4/4, a documented data audit and no options-only entry claim. Real historical GEX capture, clean ATAS footage and independent review are pending. Written mastery is not proof of trading performance.


Education only. Futures involve substantial loss risk. No profit, pass rate or institutional intent is established by these examples. No signup, evaluation purchase or paid feed is required.